OFK Pirin 0-0 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.87
-18% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Pirin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Pirin
0-0
AWAY Cherno More Varna
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFK Pirin vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Pirin and Cherno More Varna played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, OFK Pirin had 39% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 61%, shots finished 7-19.

What was the final score of OFK Pirin vs Cherno More Varna?

OFK Pirin 0-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Pirin vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split OFK Pirin 20%, draw 28%, Cherno More Varna 52%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
20 Apr 2024
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