Levski Sofia 1-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.83/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.91
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
448 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
23.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.07.2014 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-3 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past PFC Beroe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 70% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 30%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Levski Sofia and 1.67 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Levski Sofia 1-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 62%, draw 21%, PFC Beroe 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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