JEF United (K) 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.09.2023 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JKLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
1-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) and Nojima Stella (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 53% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 47%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 49%, draw 25%, Nojima Stella (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (JEF United (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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