Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.91
Over 2.5
36%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.9
No
65%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
48%
+15.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
52%
-15.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
49%
-14.0pp
65%
BTTS No
51%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-15% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
2-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) squeezed past Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 59% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 41%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 58%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata (K) 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
2 May 2024
06:00 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Analysis →
07:00 JEF United (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Analysis →