Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) squeezed past Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 31% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 69%, shots finished 9-20.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 23%, draw 22%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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