Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata (K) v Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Albirex Niigata (K) squeezed past Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 31% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 69%, shots finished 9-20.
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?
Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 23%, draw 22%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.