AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) squeezed past Nojima Stella (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Elfen Saitama (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 47% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 53%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Elfen Saitama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 49%, draw 26%, Nojima Stella (K) 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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