Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
25%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.82/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.14
-43% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.09.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
01.07.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
29.04.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
12.03.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
24.10.2021 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-2 HT 1-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
2-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai edged past FK Dainava Alytus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Dziugas Telsiai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 42% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 58%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Dainava Alytus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 39%, draw 34%, FK Dainava Alytus 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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