Managua 2-3 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.3pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
2.50/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.59
+29% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Managua Managua 3-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
28.10.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.08.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
20.04.2023 Managua Managua 2-3 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
02.04.2023 Managua Managua 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.02.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa squeezed past Managua 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Managua at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Managua and 1.50 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Managua vs Jalapa?

Managua 2-3 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Managua 47%, draw 24%, Jalapa 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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