52 Orduspor FK 1-1 İnegöl Kafkas GK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 52 Orduspor FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+86% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 52 Orduspor FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 İnegöl Kafkas GK İnegöl Kafkas GK 1-0 HT 1-0 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK S3-1
11.11.2023 52 Orduspor FK 52 Orduspor FK 3-1 HT 0-1 İnegöl Kafkas GK İnegöl Kafkas GK S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 52 Orduspor FK
1-1
AWAY İnegöl Kafkas GK
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH 52 Orduspor FK vs İnegöl Kafkas GK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

52 Orduspor FK and İnegöl Kafkas GK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was 52 Orduspor FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, 52 Orduspor FK had 55% of the ball to İnegöl Kafkas GK's 45%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 52 Orduspor FK and 1.00 for İnegöl Kafkas GK.

What was the final score of 52 Orduspor FK vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

52 Orduspor FK 1-1 İnegöl Kafkas GK in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 52 Orduspor FK vs İnegöl Kafkas GK?

Before kick-off our model rated a 52 Orduspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split 52 Orduspor FK 42%, draw 28%, İnegöl Kafkas GK 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (52 Orduspor FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (52 Orduspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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