Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.10.2023 Tokat Bld Plevnespor Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-1 HT 0-1 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1-0
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokat Bld Plevnespor squeezed past Alanya Kestelspor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Tokat Bld Plevnespor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Tokat Bld Plevnespor had 37% of the ball to Alanya Kestelspor's 63%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division Yükselme Playoff on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokat Bld Plevnespor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tokat Bld Plevnespor 38%, draw 30%, Alanya Kestelspor 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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