Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac v Mladost Lucani — Team-Based Signals
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Mladost Lucani
SIRP
0-0
HT 0-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
SIRP
1-0
HT 0-0
Mladost Lucani
SIRP
0-0
HT 0-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
SIRP
1-2
HT 0-1
Mladost Lucani
SIRP
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 Mladost Lucani — Actual Match Statistics
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 64% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 36%, shots finished 29-4, expected goals 3.24 to 1.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 0.83 for Mladost Lucani.
What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?
Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 56%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.