Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kızılyıldız v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
0-3
HT 0-1
Kızılyıldız
SIRBK
4-1
HT 1-1
Backa Topola
SIRP
1-2
HT 0-1
Kızılyıldız
SIRP
1-1
HT 1-1
Backa Topola
SIRP
Kızılyıldız 2-1 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Kızılyıldız squeezed past Backa Topola 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kızılyıldız had 61% of the ball to Backa Topola's 39%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 3.17 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.83 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola?
Kızılyıldız 2-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 64%, draw 18%, Backa Topola 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.