Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.06 — our 30% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.3pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.83/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.66
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.2 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Damac FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.18 xG 1.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
428 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
21.01.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
25.08.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
06.03.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-3 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
05.12.2020 Damac FC Damac FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
19.12.2019 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 5-1 HT 3-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Damac FC
3.86 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
313 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 4
5 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah swept aside Damac FC 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 54% of the ball to Damac FC's 46%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 3.86 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Damac FC?

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 52%, draw 25%, Damac FC 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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