Al Fateh 2-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.50/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.44
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
22.2 Crosses 9.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
421 Passes 493
89% Pass Accuracy 91%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.19 xG 0.60
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
592 Passes 249
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh and Al Riyadh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Fateh had 67% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 33%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.19 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Al Fateh 2-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 48%, draw 23%, Al Riyadh 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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