Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Getafe — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano squeezed past Getafe 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 60% of the ball to Getafe's 40%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.27 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 0.17 for Getafe.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe?
Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 42%, draw 29%, Getafe 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.