Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Jan 2024

Getafe
0-2 HT 0-1
Rayo Vallecano
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.8
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.36
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
12%
6.22
X/X
12%
3.45
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
10%
5.2
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Getafe v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.21/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.28
+8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.4 Crosses 19.1
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
214 Passes 361
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.02.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
14.10.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
08.05.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
18.09.2021 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 3-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
23.02.2019 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
21.10.2018 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1

Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
0-2
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.39 xG 1.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
207 Passes 423
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano beat Getafe 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Getafe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe had 38% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 62%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.39 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Getafe and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Getafe 42%, draw 30%, Rayo Vallecano 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Getafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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