Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 2 Jan 2024

Real Sociedad
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
📅02/01/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
18.8
X/1
27%
3.36
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
9%
4.46
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
8%
11.25
2/X
6%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
1.72/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.71
-11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.3 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 1.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
393 Passes 176
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.03.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
02.01.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
24.07.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves HAZ
21.02.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
06.12.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
18.06.2020 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1

Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.25 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
281 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alaves shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Real Sociedad carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 47%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves?

Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 02/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 58%, draw 22%, Deportivo Alaves 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Sociedad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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