Osnabrück 2-0 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No Pick
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.61
2-3
39%
1.86
4-5
24%
3.48
6+
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.95
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.99
X/2
10%
6.99
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
9%
24.65
2/2
13%
4.96
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln The Market 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.90
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.6 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 Passes 221
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
20.05.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
14.01.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
14.02.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.09.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.07.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
2-0
AWAY Viktoria Köln
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
203 Passes 392
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück beat Viktoria Köln 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 38% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 62%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Osnabrück and 0.67 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Viktoria Köln?

Osnabrück 2-0 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 46%, draw 25%, Viktoria Köln 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →