Viktoria Köln 2-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
14%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
33.0
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
18%
4.95
X/2
10%
6.67
X/X
9%
4.72
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.56/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
10.6 Crosses 18.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Osnabrück
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
14.01.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
14.02.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.09.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.07.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
2-0
AWAY Osnabrück
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
221 Passes 420
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
4 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln saw off Osnabrück 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Köln as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 37% of the ball to Osnabrück's 63%, shots finished 7-22.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Viktoria Köln and 2.00 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Osnabrück?

Viktoria Köln 2-0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 41%, draw 25%, Osnabrück 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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