Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.15
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.94
X/2
9%
6.45
X/X
10%
4.66
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.57
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.87/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
+22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 67%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 21.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 2.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
05.08.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-1 HT 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
15.06.2020 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
26.10.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
30.01.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-4 HT 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
11.08.2018 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
182 Passes 385
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden swept aside Arminia Bielefeld 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 37% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 63%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 2.00 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 43%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ BTTS Yes
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