Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.06
1/2
10%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
8%
5.23
X/2
9%
6.7
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
17%
4.34
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.79/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.43
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.2 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY 1860 München
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
06.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
14.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
14.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
01.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
03.11.2006 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0-3
AWAY 1860 München
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München ran out comfortable winners over Rot-Weiss Essen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day 1860 München made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 51% of the ball to 1860 München's 49%, shots finished 15-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.67 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München?

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 37%, draw 27%, 1860 München 37%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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