Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 May 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
0-1 HT 0-1
1860 München
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 27% vs market 17.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.43
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
6%
8.18
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
15%
21.85
2/2
14%
5.58
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
2.02/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.53
+19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
– Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY 1860 München
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
14.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
14.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
01.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
03.11.2006 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
01.05.2005 1860 München 1860 München 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0-1
AWAY 1860 München
76% Ball Possession 24%
4 Total Shots 0
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München edged past Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 76% of the ball to 1860 München's 24%, shots finished 4-0.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.50 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München?

Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 47%, draw 25%, 1860 München 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen)
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