Racing Club 1-0 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.31
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
14%
4.26
X/2
8%
9.24
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
9%
7.57
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
+24% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.7 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.14 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
13.02.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-4 HT 0-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
21.09.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
13.04.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
17.07.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
24.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
1-0
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.28 xG 1.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 157
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club squeezed past Newells Old Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club had 58% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 42%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.28 to 1.71 — on chances, Newells Old Boys could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Club and 0.33 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Newells Old Boys?

Racing Club 1-0 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 47%, draw 28%, Newells Old Boys 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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