Newells Old Boys 0-4 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.41
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 41% vs market 37.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
17%
3.57
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
10%
5.8
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.6pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.04/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.17
-21% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.9 Crosses 18.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.60 xG 1.26
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
236 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
13.04.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
17.07.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
24.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
16.08.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 2-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
10.01.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 3-1 HT 2-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
0-4
AWAY Racing Club
1.37 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
294 Passes 248
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 14
37 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club ran out comfortable winners over Newells Old Boys 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Racing Club made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 53% of the ball to Racing Club's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.37 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.17 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Racing Club?

Newells Old Boys 0-4 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 39%, draw 34%, Racing Club 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Newells Old Boys), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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