San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.91
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
14%
6.95
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.11
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
13%
5.8
X/2
9%
4.48
X/X
18%
3.21
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.58
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.07
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.7 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
28.06.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes CSA
22.06.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
05.04.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo CSA
07.08.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
27.08.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes
1.11 xG 0.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo and Estudiantes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 49% of the ball to Estudiantes's 51%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.11 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.67 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?

San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 31%, draw 33%, Estudiantes 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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