Amstetten 0-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.36
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
5.54
X/2
13%
6.22
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
17%
4.01
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
2.07/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.58
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
18.0 Crosses 19.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
01.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
11.09.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
08.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 4-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
04.12.2020 Amstetten Amstetten 3-2 HT 2-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
31.07.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-3 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau squeezed past Amstetten 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Austria Lustenau made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Amstetten and 2.00 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau?

Amstetten 0-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 37%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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