Gold Coast Knights 1-0 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
02.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-5 HT 2-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
27.04.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights squeezed past Moreton City Excelsior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Gold Coast Knights made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 3.50 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Gold Coast Knights 1-0 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 40%, draw 23%, Moreton City Excelsior 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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