Gold Coast Knights 2-5 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
16%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.04.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior swept aside Gold Coast Knights 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gold Coast Knights at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Gold Coast Knights 2-5 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 52%, draw 24%, Moreton City Excelsior 24%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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