Modbury Jets 3-4 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.74
Over 2.5
70%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
33%
-2.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
67%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.9pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
2.92/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.42
+39% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modbury Jets
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
11.05.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-3 HT 2-2 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
22.08.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-2 HT 2-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
03.07.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-4 HT 2-3 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Raiders squeezed past Modbury Jets 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Modbury Jets at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Modbury Jets and 2.67 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Raiders?

Modbury Jets 3-4 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Modbury Jets 52%, draw 20%, Adelaide Raiders 28%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Modbury Jets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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