Adelaide Raiders 2-3 Modbury Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.6pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.12/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/2.69
+47% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Raiders
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Modbury Jets
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
22.08.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-2 HT 2-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
03.07.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-4 HT 2-3 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Raiders vs Modbury Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets edged past Adelaide Raiders 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Modbury Jets as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adelaide Raiders had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Adelaide Raiders and 2.00 for Modbury Jets.

What was the final score of Adelaide Raiders vs Modbury Jets?

Adelaide Raiders 2-3 Modbury Jets in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Raiders vs Modbury Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modbury Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Raiders 34%, draw 21%, Modbury Jets 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modbury Jets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Modbury Jets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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