Moreland City 4-0 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

Moreland City
4-0 HT 4-0
Dandenong Thunder
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Moreland City vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreland City v Dandenong Thunder — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 50%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.77/3.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.38
+23% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Moreland City vs Dandenong Thunder Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
22.07.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 0-4 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
22.04.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-2 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland City ran out comfortable winners over Dandenong Thunder 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dandenong Thunder at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreland City and 3.50 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Moreland City 4-0 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 32%, draw 23%, Dandenong Thunder 45%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dandenong Thunder), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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