Canberra Olympic 1-4 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
18%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.79/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.93
+31% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra Olympic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Canberra FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 0-0 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
03.09.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 8-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
15.07.2023 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 2-0 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
21.05.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-2 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
30.07.2022 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 1-5 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
29.05.2022 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra Olympic vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC ran out comfortable winners over Canberra Olympic 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Canberra Olympic and 2.67 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of Canberra Olympic vs Canberra FC?

Canberra Olympic 1-4 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra Olympic vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Canberra Olympic 28%, draw 20%, Canberra FC 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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