Devonport City 1-1 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Devonport City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 38%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.30/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.57
+35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Devonport City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 0-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 3-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
13.05.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
30.07.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
04.06.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
26.03.2022 Devonport City Devonport City 0-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Devonport City and Glenorchy Knights couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Devonport City and 0.50 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights?

Devonport City 1-1 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Devonport City 39%, draw 27%, Glenorchy Knights 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Devonport City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Devonport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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