FC Molodechno 0-2 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.78
Over
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.91
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.7
6+
13%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Molodechno The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Molodechno
0-2
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Molodechno vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk saw off FC Molodechno 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naftan Novopolotsk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Molodechno had 56% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 44%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of FC Molodechno vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

FC Molodechno 0-2 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Molodechno vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Molodechno 31%, draw 27%, Naftan Novopolotsk 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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