Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.54
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
22%
4.25
6+
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov The Market 46%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.35/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.69
+22% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
218 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2W-0D-2L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 3-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
26.05.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0 HT 2-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
12.11.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.07.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-1
AWAY BATE Borisov
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; BATE Borisov found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 46% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.50 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-1 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 35%, draw 26%, BATE Borisov 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE Borisov), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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2 May 2025
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