Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +20%
1.03/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.55
-13% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +111%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.07.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk beat BATE Borisov 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 50% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 50%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.50 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 35%, draw 26%, BATE Borisov 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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