Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-2 Smorgon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Smorgon EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
0.85/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.35
-36% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Smorgon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
21.05.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 1-3 HT 1-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
15.08.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 2-2 HT 2-1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
11.04.2021 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtyor Soligorsk
2-2
AWAY Smorgon
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Smorgon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtyor Soligorsk and Smorgon shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had 51% of the ball to Smorgon's 49%, shots finished 8-21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Soligorsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shakhtyor Soligorsk and 0.75 for Smorgon.

What was the final score of Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Smorgon?

Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-2 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Smorgon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shakhtyor Soligorsk 39%, draw 27%, Smorgon 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtyor Soligorsk) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
26 May 2024
15:00 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs BATE Borisov Analysis →
19:00 Slavia Mozyr vs Dinamo Minsk Analysis →