Bahardar 2-0 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.52
Over
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.1pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl The Market 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.24/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.56
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +96%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
329 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2024 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 1-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
2-0
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar beat Mebrat Hayl 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Bahardar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bahardar had 50% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 50%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl?

Bahardar 2-0 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 40%, draw 29%, Mebrat Hayl 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahardar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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