Nice 1-0 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 May 2025

Nice
1-0 HT 1-0
Reims
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.29
Over
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No Pick
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.58
2-3
39%
1.92
4-5
24%
2.81
6+
10%
7.67
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.58 — our 27% vs market 16.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.67
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.8
X/1
13%
3.99
X/2
8%
14.9
X/X
11%
7.2
2/1
11%
20.8
2/2
9%
12.1
2/X
7%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims The Market 17%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.91/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.56
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +34%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.1 Crosses 13.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Reims
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
398 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Reims Reims 2-4 HT 1-2 Nice Nice FR1
07.04.2024 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
10.12.2023 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
18.02.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
15.01.2023 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
21.05.2022 Reims Reims 2-3 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
1-0
AWAY Reims
1.51 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 Passes 320
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nice vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice squeezed past Reims 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nice had 55% of the ball to Reims's 45%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.51 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nice and 0.83 for Reims.

What was the final score of Nice vs Reims?

Nice 1-0 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nice 56%, draw 23%, Reims 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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