Reims 2-4 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 11 Jan 2025

Reims
2-4 HT 1-2
Nice
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
8%
5.99
X/2
11%
5.47
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.56
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.05/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
-24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.0 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Reims vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Nice
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
362 Passes 415
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
10.12.2023 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
18.02.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
15.01.2023 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
21.05.2022 Reims Reims 2-3 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
08.08.2021 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1

Reims 2-4 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
2-4
AWAY Nice
0.79 xG 2.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
465 Passes 373
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice got the better of Reims 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Reims had 55% of the ball to Nice's 45%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.79 to 2.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Reims and 0.83 for Nice.

What was the final score of Reims vs Nice?

Reims 2-4 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Reims 33%, draw 29%, Nice 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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