Daejeon Korail 1-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.92/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.92
-28% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Changwon City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
17.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
11.08.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-4 HT 0-2 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.04.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.09.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
19.08.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
21.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail and Changwon City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daejeon Korail and 0.67 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Changwon City?

Daejeon Korail 1-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 37%, draw 29%, Changwon City 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daejeon Korail), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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