Changwon City 0-1 Daejeon Korail — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.06/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.30
-6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Daejeon Korail
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.08.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-4 HT 0-2 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
15.04.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 2-1 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.09.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
19.08.2022 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 1-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
21.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
23.04.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Daejeon Korail
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Korail squeezed past Changwon City 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Daejeon Korail made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Korail led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Changwon City and 1.50 for Daejeon Korail.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Daejeon Korail?

Changwon City 0-1 Daejeon Korail in the South Kore - K3 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Daejeon Korail?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 33%, draw 31%, Daejeon Korail 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Korail), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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