Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.27/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.41
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Busan Transportation
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
26.06.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
22.10.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
06.06.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP nicked a narrow win over Busan Transportation 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Gyeongju HNP made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.00 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?

Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 40%, draw 32%, Busan Transportation 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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