AFC Bournemouth U21 5-2 Wigan Athletic U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.3pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.3pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
3.58/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.69
+25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wigan Athletic U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.04.2024 Wigan Athletic U21 Wigan Athletic U21 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 swept aside Wigan Athletic U21 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 5-2 Wigan Athletic U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Wigan Athletic U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 61%, draw 23%, Wigan Athletic U21 16%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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