Cardiff City U21 3-1 Watford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.7pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-3.7pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.85/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.26
-6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Watford U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
25.04.2025 Watford U21 Watford U21 2-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
19.12.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Watford U21 Watford U21 İNPLK
17.10.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 0-2 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 İNPLK
08.01.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford U21 Watford U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Watford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 beat Watford U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Cardiff City U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cardiff City U21 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 0.75 for Watford U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Watford U21?

Cardiff City U21 3-1 Watford U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Watford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 34%, draw 32%, Watford U21 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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