Al Karkh 1-4 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.93/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.26
-8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba cruised past Al Karkh 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Talaba as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Al Talaba?

Al Karkh 1-4 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 31%, draw 24%, Al Talaba 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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