Karbala 0-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 2 May 2025

Karbala
0-2 HT 0-1
Erbil
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Karbala vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.59
Over 2.5
32%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.1pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karbala v Erbil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karbala EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 40%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.41
+6% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Karbala vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil saw off Karbala 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Erbil found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Karbala vs Erbil?

Karbala 0-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karbala vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Karbala 31%, draw 32%, Erbil 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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