UNAN Managua 1-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+8.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
45%
Away Win
57%
-12.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 61%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.92/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.29
-22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.03.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
22.01.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
21.04.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-1 HT 3-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
26.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
28.11.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-4 HT 1-3 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
1-2
AWAY Real Esteli
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 30
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past UNAN Managua 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 39% of the ball to Real Esteli's 61%, shots finished 5-30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.67 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli?

UNAN Managua 1-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 28%, draw 28%, Real Esteli 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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