Wisla Krakow 1-3 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 28% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.76/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.69
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
260 Passes 276
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-3 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
13.04.2024 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
01.10.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
25.04.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 3-4 HT 1-3 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
31.10.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
28.02.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-3 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
1-3
AWAY Wisla Plock
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock beat Wisla Krakow 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 66% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 34%, shots finished 26-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.50 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?

Wisla Krakow 1-3 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 46%, draw 27%, Wisla Plock 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wisla Krakow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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