Al-Qadsiah 4-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.92 — our 28% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.0pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.06/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.33
-38% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
29.1 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Kholood
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.29 xG 1.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
516 Passes 289
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.12.2024 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0-3 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
4-1
AWAY Al Kholood
3.30 xG 1.06
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
497 Passes 244
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah ran out comfortable winners over Al Kholood 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 65% of the ball to Al Kholood's 35%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 3.30 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Kholood?

Al-Qadsiah 4-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 55%, draw 24%, Al Kholood 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ BTTS No
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